Dangers Of Forex Trading
The foreign exchange (FX) currency market is the largest in
the world and has been active since the beginning of financial
markets. Until rather recently (1996), the average person
was unable to access any trading medium due to the control of
the world's major financial institutions - namely the large
international banks.
Today the so-called retail market is able to trade forex
around the clock with hundreds of foreign exchange brokers
through forex trading platforms. This is a profitable business
because in many cases brokers are taking the opposite side of
the trade.
In other words, they turn their client capital directly into
broker profit as the average account loses money. Some brokers
provide a matching service, charging a commission instead of
taking the opposite site of the trade and "netting the spread",
as it is referred to within the forex industry.
Quasi-regulatory bodies (the NFA and CFTC have only limited
authority) are becoming increasingly concerned about the
ability of brokers to maintain customer liquidity.
Minimum capital requirements of US $20,000,000 are now
mandated in the United States.
In addition, more stringent capital requirements are now
enforce within the markets in Germany and the United Kingdom.
Switzlerand now requires forex brokers to become a bank before
conducting fx brokerage business from Switzerland.
Nevertheless, the retail FX market is seeing continued
explosive growth despite... or, perhaps because of...
losses in other markets like global equities in 2008.
Algorythmic or machine based formula trading has become
increasingly popular in the FX market... primarily due to
online marketing. A number of popular packages allowing
the customer to program his own studies. Artificial
intelligence is becoming more prominently advertised.
The most traded currency is the pair known as the
EUR/USD. It's size is huge and it has median volatility
with a relatively low spread. This refers to the
difference between the bid and the ask price. This is typically
measured in "pips", which is normally 1/100 of a full
point.
In online foreign currency exchange, practically no
transactions actually end with physical delivery to the
client. Positions are eventually closed.
The market makers offer high amounts of leverage. While up
to 4:1 leverage is available in equities and 20:1 in Futures,
it is common to have 100:1 leverage in currencies. Some
brokers even offer 400:1 leverage. Needless to say,
the risk can be substantial.
Most retail Forex market makers permit 100:1 leverage, but
require that you have a minimum amount of money in your account
to protect against a critical loss point. For example, if a
$100,000 position is held in EUR/USD on 100:1 leverage, the
trader has to put up $1,000 to control the position.
However, should a position value decline forex market makers
typically employ automatic systems to close out positions when
their clients run out of margin (the amount of money in their
account not tied to a position).
For example, if you have $2,000 in your account and you buy
a $100,000 lot of EUR/USD, you have $1,000 of your $2,000 tied
up in margin. $1,000 is left to allow your position to
fluctuate downward without being closed out.
Retail traders (that would be you) are typically
undercapitalized. They always pay the bid/ask spread which
makes their odds of winning less than those of a fair game.
Additional costs may include margin interest or, if a spot
position is kept open for more than one day, the trade may be
resettled each day. Each time this happens they pay the
full bid/ask spread.
By offering high leverage, the market maker encourages
traders to trade extremely large positions. This increases the
trading volume cleared by the market maker and increases his
profits, but increases the risk that the trader will receive a
margin call. Professional currency dealers (banks, hedge funds)
never use more than 10:1 leverage, but as previously noted most
retail clients are offered leverage between 50:1 and 400:1.
The risk associated with forex is huge... no question about
it. Nevertheless, with proper education, training,
discipline and the proper trading psychology it is certainly
possible to make good money in the foreign exchange currency
marketplace.
Just remember... there is no holy grail. It is
not possible to buy some magical software
product and guarantee positive results for your FX
trading. You will win some... and you will lose
some. The reality is that you have an excellent chance to
win more than you lose if you prepare properly.
Closing caveat: Be aware of the risks you
take by trading with any forex broker that has total net
capital below $20 million. Some of the smaller forex brokers
might unexpectedly (especially in today's environment) close up
shop giving their customers very little notice. Here today,
gone tomorrow.
|